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Why did the iShares Bitcoin Trust fall 17% in April?

SatoshiTimes Staff

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Why did the iShares Bitcoin Trust fall 17% in April?

O iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (I BITE -1.53%) fell 17.1% last month, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. The exchange-traded fund launched earlier this year and has become a popular vehicle for people looking Bitcoin exposure in your investment portfolio. Macroeconomic conditions created a favorable environment for cryptocurrency during the first quarter, but reversed in April.

Bitcoin Displays Remarkable Correlations

Bitcoin has become a more popular asset class with wider acceptance among investors. This change in reputation is generally a force that stimulates demand, which helps Bitcoin holders. However, this legitimacy comes with consequences, such as exposure to prevailing forces in global capital markets.

Image source: Getty Images.

In recent years, the prices of Bitcoin and other high-profile crypto assets have been highly correlated with other speculative assets. The chart below shows Bitcoin’s performance over five years and the ProShares Ultra QQQ ETFwhich is a Leveraged ETF which aims to triple the daily performance of the Nasdaq Composite. Bitcoin and technology stocks are subject to shared market forces.

TQQQ Total Return Level Chart

Total return level TQQQ given by Y Charts

For much of the past five years, Bitcoin’s price has behaved like that of a high-growth technology stock, except with even more volatility. Apparently, growth investors are buying and selling this crypto asset as general risk tolerance rises and falls. It is no longer a niche community for technology supporters and it is not behaving like a precious metal.

This relationship remained true in April

Bitcoin’s relationship with growth stocks continued into April, and the iShares Bitcoin ETF fell along with it.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Bitcoin Price given by Y Charts

Interest rates may be the most important macroeconomic factor for the stock market right now. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates in 2022 in an effort to combat price inflation. High rates discourage borrowing, which in turn discourages consumer spending, business growth investments and hiring. These conditions tend to reduce investors’ risk tolerance because they introduce uncertainty. Companies face a potential recession and weak growth prospects, which makes them less attractive to potential buyers. Rate increases also increase the availability of higher yields from lower risk assets such as titles. This discourages investors from buying riskier assets, and Bitcoin is among this group of riskier assets.

Investors have been anticipating an end to the Fed’s restrictive policy for more than a year. The central bank is likely to slowly cut rates as inflation approaches its target rate. Last year’s economic data led investors to expect a rate cut in mid-2024.

This optimism suffered a blow in April with the arrival of the latest economic indicators. Inflation was higher than expected, while employment data was better than expected. The Fed is less likely to cut rates with strong employment and high inflation, so investors have had to revise their expectations. It seems less likely that interest rates will fall soon. After a positive few months for growth stocks and cryptocurrencies, the latest sign of trouble prompted investors to sell and take some gains.

Bitcoin is subject to the downside potential associated with other popular risk assets, which was relevant last month. This shouldn’t necessarily deter long-term investors, but they should anticipate more volatility in the future.

Ryan Downie has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions and recommends Bitcoin. The motley fool has a disclosure policy.

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We are the editorial team of SatoshiTimes, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on SatoshiTimes, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

What to watch for in the markets

SatoshiTimes Staff

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What to watch for in the markets

Photo: Andrew Harnik (Getty Images)

After witnessing one of the largest global IT outages on record, affecting the travel, finance and healthcare sectors worldwideThis week is set to see more political drama, events, and earnings reports from tech giants.

Donald Trump’s ‘Lovefest’ Sets Jamie Dimon Up for Consideration for Treasury Secretary Job

Let’s take a look at what awaits us:

Major companies will release their earnings reports

Major tech companies and others will release their earnings reports this week, paving the way for what the second half of 2024 will look like.

Monday

  • Verizon will report earnings before the start of operations.

Tuesday

  • Coca-Cola, Comcast and UPS are all set to report earnings before the market opens.
  • Tesla will report earnings in the morning, while General Motors will report earnings in the evening.
  • Alphabet and Visa will report results after the market closes.

Wednesday

  • AT&T will release its report before the market opens.
  • Ford and Chipotle will report earnings after the market closes.

Thursday

  • Earnings reports from AstraZeneca, American Airlines and Southwest Airlines will be released before the market opens.

Trump to speak at Bitcoin conference

Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump will speak at the next Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, Tennesseewhich is scheduled for July 25-27. While this is the first time a presidential candidate will attend the conference, it has sparked a debate over whether the crypto-friendly Trump will receive support from the crypto community in the upcoming election.

In addition to Trump, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will also discuss crypto during the conference. Crypto advocates such as ARK Investment’s Cathie Wood, MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor, and whistleblower Edward Snowden are among some prominent names who will be participating in the conference.

Ether ETFs are on the way

New Ether Spot ETFs are set to begin trading on Tuesday, July 23. Much like the spot Bitcoin ETFs, these ETFs will allow investors to buy the second most popular cryptocurrency like stocks. BlackRock, Ark Invest/21Shares, VanEck, Grayscale, Fidelity, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and Invesco/Galaxy Digital are all set to offer Ether ETFs. Crypto asset manager Bitwise predict that trading in the Ether ETF will drive the price of Ether higher, potentially surpassing $5,000.

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Bitcoin

Cryptocurrency’s Biggest Winners and Losers in a Second Trump Presidency

SatoshiTimes Staff

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Cryptocurrency’s Biggest Winners and Losers in a Second Trump Presidency

Bitcoin miners and cryptocurrency companies that have been blocked from going public in the U.S. could ultimately be the biggest winners in the digital asset world under a second Donald Trump presidency. Foreign companies at risk of losing market share could end up being the biggest losers.

That’s the view that’s taking hold among market participants and observers in the wake of the former president’s growing embrace of cryptocurrency as his chances of election grow. survey released Thursday by CBS News showed Trump with the majority — 52 percent — of likely voters in his likely November rematch with President Joe Biden.

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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and Cryptocurrency Markets Look Ready to ‘Send’ as Stars Align, According to Investor Chris Burniske

SatoshiTimes Staff

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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and Cryptocurrency Markets Look Ready to ‘Send’ as Stars Align, According to Investor Chris Burniske

Cryptocurrency investor Chris Burniske says Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SUN) and the cryptocurrency market in general seem poised for a run.

Former Head of Cryptocurrency at ARK Invest account his 292,200 followers on social media platform X that several catalysts are aligning, suggesting that digital asset markets are on the verge of a bull run.

According to Burniske, a partner at venture capital firm Placeholder, the highly anticipated launch of Ethereum-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaking at an upcoming Bitcoin event, and the current state of the BTC, ETH, and SOL charts all suggest significant optimism for the cryptocurrency markets.

“With ETH ETFs set to go live, Trump speaking at The Bitcoin Conference, and BTC, ETH, and SOL charts looking [they do] (while stocks are weak), it’s hard to imagine a world where we don’t ship next week.”

Reuters recently reported that preliminary approval for ETH ETFs has been granted as the Bitcoin Conference is scheduled to take place from July 25-27.

BTC, ETH, and SOL are trading at $67,333, $3,528, and $174 at the time of writing, respectively.

The venture capitalist too provides an update on his prediction that the total crypto market cap will eventually hit $10 trillion. According to his chart, the path to $10 trillion is currently “23%” complete, as it sits around $2.2 trillion.

Source: Chris BurniskeX

Earlier this month, Burniske he said in an interview with Real Vision CEO Raoul Paul that he has his eye on the Move ecosystem, which was originally built by social media giant Meta and then used to develop layer 1 blockchains Sui (IUE) and Apts (APT).

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be aware that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Here’s the next target for BTC before bulls can hold out for $70K

SatoshiTimes Staff

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Here’s the next target for BTC before bulls can hold out for $70K

Bitcoin’s recovery is going well, and the market is seemingly poised to create a new all-time high in the near term.

Technical analysis

Per NegotiationRage

The daily chart

As the daily chart shows, the price of Bitcoin has been rising since it broke above the 200-day moving average.

The market has also reclaimed the $60K and $65K levels and is moving towards the $68K resistance zone, which could be the last hurdle before creating a new all-time high. With the RSI also indicating that the price has clear bullish momentum, it could be just a matter of time.

Source: TradingView

The 4-hour chart

Looking at the 4-hour chart, it is evident that the price has been rising rapidly since breaking the downtrend line to the upside. The market also broke the $65K resistance level with momentum, turning it into a support.

While almost everything points to a new record high in the coming weeks, there is one worrying sign. The RSI is showing a clear bearish divergence between recent price highs, which could indicate a correction or even a reversal in the near term.

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Cryptocurrency Charts by TradingView.

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