Bitcoin
Mass adoption would ruin crypto. Maintain a niche
It would be better for cryptography to remain niche.
The biggest crisis in crypto so far has undoubtedly been the rapid decline and tremendous fall of FTX. At the time of the collapse of what turned out to be Sam Bankman-Fried’s personal piggy bank, it was the third largest cryptocurrency exchange. Its disappearance sent shockwaves throughout the industry, bringing down not just prices but also a litany of companies.
Note: The opinions expressed in this column are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of CoinDesk, Inc. or its owners and affiliates.
This article is excerpted from The Node, CoinDesk’s daily digest of the most important stories in blockchain and crypto news. You can subscribe to get the full content newsletter here.
At the time, in late 2021, it was unclear whether crypto as a concept would ever recover – the blatant fraud of what was, until then, one of the most experienced and consumer-trusted crypto companies seemed to confirm the widespread assumption of what all of this it was just a ruse to cover up fraud.
Today, things are improving, although there remains widespread fear that the industry is repeating old mistakes and headed for another punishment. For investors and veteran crypto watchers, this is and has always been normal: since bitcoin (BTC) 2014 market crash, following the failure of Monte. Gox, and subsequent recoveryThe cyclical nature of the market has long been an accepted part of life.
But isn’t it strange that this maturing industry has normalized these boom and bust cycles? It seems to me that mass adoption of any blockchain or consumer application depends on the price of its token – or the industry itself – not always being at risk of imminent collapse.
And that’s it. To a large extent, the biggest problem with the growth of crypto is the growth of crypto. This whiplash between euphoria when markets rise and despair when they shrink, every four years or so, is a result of crypto’s quest for mass adoption.
The process is clear, a classic case of economist Robert Shiller “irrational exuberance.” Promises to reinvent everything, from money to the internet itself, arouse interest. People believe in the dream of decentralization (or, for many, the promise of quick money). Popularity drives up prices, which reflexively it increases further as more and more people invest – until something breaks.
Almost always, the things that fail are the things that blockchains were built to mitigate or replace. And these things, almost always, were built to make cryptography palatable and/or easy to use. It is not an uncommon opinion that “the masses” are unlikely to engage in self-custody. But without self-custody, what’s the point of something like Bitcoin?
“The risk with increasing adoption is that new entrants are not aware of the fundamental principles of Bitcoin: decentralization, self-custody, hard money, etc. Their reality may not remain in the protocols over time,” said Alex Thorn, head of enterprise-wide research at investment bank Galaxy Digital.
Adoption means following the law (which is often at odds with crypto values) and creating easy-to-use logins and on-ramps (which can be compromised). There is a tension – if not direct competition – between the goals of decentralization and mass adoption. Grow encryption too much and you risk destroying what it is truly useful for. “Just being integrated into the mainstream financial system cedes many of the opportunities that matter for this technology,” said Nathan Schnieder, professor of media studies at the University of Colorado at Boulder and author of “Governable Spaces.”
It’s a point made by University College Dublin professor Paul Dylan-Ennis, who said that “crypto is a subculture that cannot accept that it is a subculture. Most of our problems result from how talk of “integrating the next billion” makes us fall back on our values.”
There is a certain irony in the fact that developers, founders and investors have spent 15 years and billions of dollars looking for a “killer app” for blockchain, and yet one already exists.
Satoshi Nakamoto, and those who truly follow in his footsteps, have built digital instruments that can be used in any way and cannot (easily) be taken away from you.
And that. That’s the point of encryption.
Mind you, these are huge markets. But today, as in other periods where it seems like crypto is about to emerge, that use pales in comparison to the speculative use of crypto, where capital comes in, bounces from coin to coin or protocol to protocol and causes the number to rise. – essentially creating a circular economy.
And that’s okay. Gaming is a use case to some extent. But if people want crypto to be used productively, developers, founders, and investors should build for people who have a real need for money and censorship-resistant tools. Almost by definition, this is a limited audience.
This is just my opinion. Many disagree.
Molly White, author of crypto-critical news services Web3IsGoingGreat and “Citation Needed,” argues that crypto is already popular. “There are individual projects that are still small and niche, but with Brian Armstrong and Sam Bankman-Fried rubbing elbows in Congress, and BlackRock and Fidelity launching bitcoin ETFs, I think that ship has probably sailed,” she said in a message direct.
Privacy advocate, educator, and monero superuser SethforPrivacy sees things differently. The “unfortunate reality is that most people do not yet realize the need for Bitcoin nor are they willing to take on so much personal responsibility, and as such, we must focus our efforts on how to improve Bitcoin for those who do see the need.” today,” he said.
There is also the argument that decentralization is precisely the reason why crypto will go global, so to speak.
“The ONLY thing that makes Bitcoin’s global rise possible is its most cypherpunk attribute: it is owned by no one and operated by users, not states or corporations,” said Alex Gladstein, chief strategy officer at the Human Rights Foundation.
However, it is not exactly clear what the masses want. Ethereum advocate Emmanuel Awosika, for example, admits that “while we believe *everyone* wants privacy, censorship resistance, and protection from nation-state attacks, some people welcome a product that solves a problem and has a good user experience.” user”.
While not everyone needs, much less wants, privacy, censorship resistance and maximum decentralization, Awosika added: “We should explore the possibility of getting crypto into the hands of as many people as possible.”
Likewise, Roko Mijic from “Roko’s Basilisk” fame, argued that it is actually scale that gives decentralized tools any power, which is obviously true as Bitcoin is difficult to attack because it has miners spread all over the world. “You cannot resist censorship within a small-scale crypto network because the government will simply take down the entire network,” Mijic said.
Justin Ehrenhofer, founder of Moonstone Research in Chicago, echoed this sentiment, pointing out that a currency is only useful if it is widely accepted and therefore “cypherpunks should focus on building systems that attract foreigners.” However, he added that “with large-scale adoption” there has been a degradation in the spirit of crypto, as the average user stores their wealth on custodial exchanges.
I suppose the question is: how valuable are the fundamental values of cryptography?
Bitcoin
What to watch for in the markets
Photo: Andrew Harnik (Getty Images)
After witnessing one of the largest global IT outages on record, affecting the travel, finance and healthcare sectors worldwideThis week is set to see more political drama, events, and earnings reports from tech giants.
Donald Trump’s ‘Lovefest’ Sets Jamie Dimon Up for Consideration for Treasury Secretary Job
Let’s take a look at what awaits us:
Major companies will release their earnings reports
Major tech companies and others will release their earnings reports this week, paving the way for what the second half of 2024 will look like.
Monday
- Verizon will report earnings before the start of operations.
Tuesday
- Coca-Cola, Comcast and UPS are all set to report earnings before the market opens.
- Tesla will report earnings in the morning, while General Motors will report earnings in the evening.
- Alphabet and Visa will report results after the market closes.
Wednesday
- AT&T will release its report before the market opens.
- Ford and Chipotle will report earnings after the market closes.
Thursday
- Earnings reports from AstraZeneca, American Airlines and Southwest Airlines will be released before the market opens.
Trump to speak at Bitcoin conference
Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump will speak at the next Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, Tennesseewhich is scheduled for July 25-27. While this is the first time a presidential candidate will attend the conference, it has sparked a debate over whether the crypto-friendly Trump will receive support from the crypto community in the upcoming election.
In addition to Trump, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will also discuss crypto during the conference. Crypto advocates such as ARK Investment’s Cathie Wood, MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor, and whistleblower Edward Snowden are among some prominent names who will be participating in the conference.
Ether ETFs are on the way
New Ether Spot ETFs are set to begin trading on Tuesday, July 23. Much like the spot Bitcoin ETFs, these ETFs will allow investors to buy the second most popular cryptocurrency like stocks. BlackRock, Ark Invest/21Shares, VanEck, Grayscale, Fidelity, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and Invesco/Galaxy Digital are all set to offer Ether ETFs. Crypto asset manager Bitwise predict that trading in the Ether ETF will drive the price of Ether higher, potentially surpassing $5,000.
Bitcoin
Cryptocurrency’s Biggest Winners and Losers in a Second Trump Presidency
Bitcoin miners and cryptocurrency companies that have been blocked from going public in the U.S. could ultimately be the biggest winners in the digital asset world under a second Donald Trump presidency. Foreign companies at risk of losing market share could end up being the biggest losers.
That’s the view that’s taking hold among market participants and observers in the wake of the former president’s growing embrace of cryptocurrency as his chances of election grow. survey released Thursday by CBS News showed Trump with the majority — 52 percent — of likely voters in his likely November rematch with President Joe Biden.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and Cryptocurrency Markets Look Ready to ‘Send’ as Stars Align, According to Investor Chris Burniske
Cryptocurrency investor Chris Burniske says Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SUN) and the cryptocurrency market in general seem poised for a run.
Former Head of Cryptocurrency at ARK Invest account his 292,200 followers on social media platform X that several catalysts are aligning, suggesting that digital asset markets are on the verge of a bull run.
According to Burniske, a partner at venture capital firm Placeholder, the highly anticipated launch of Ethereum-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaking at an upcoming Bitcoin event, and the current state of the BTC, ETH, and SOL charts all suggest significant optimism for the cryptocurrency markets.
“With ETH ETFs set to go live, Trump speaking at The Bitcoin Conference, and BTC, ETH, and SOL charts looking [they do] (while stocks are weak), it’s hard to imagine a world where we don’t ship next week.”
Reuters recently reported that preliminary approval for ETH ETFs has been granted as the Bitcoin Conference is scheduled to take place from July 25-27.
BTC, ETH, and SOL are trading at $67,333, $3,528, and $174 at the time of writing, respectively.
The venture capitalist too provides an update on his prediction that the total crypto market cap will eventually hit $10 trillion. According to his chart, the path to $10 trillion is currently “23%” complete, as it sits around $2.2 trillion.
Source: Chris BurniskeX
Earlier this month, Burniske he said in an interview with Real Vision CEO Raoul Paul that he has his eye on the Move ecosystem, which was originally built by social media giant Meta and then used to develop layer 1 blockchains Sui (IUE) and Apts (APT).
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Bitcoin
Here’s the next target for BTC before bulls can hold out for $70K
Bitcoin’s recovery is going well, and the market is seemingly poised to create a new all-time high in the near term.
Technical analysis
Per NegotiationRage
The daily chart
As the daily chart shows, the price of Bitcoin has been rising since it broke above the 200-day moving average.
The market has also reclaimed the $60K and $65K levels and is moving towards the $68K resistance zone, which could be the last hurdle before creating a new all-time high. With the RSI also indicating that the price has clear bullish momentum, it could be just a matter of time.
The 4-hour chart
Looking at the 4-hour chart, it is evident that the price has been rising rapidly since breaking the downtrend line to the upside. The market also broke the $65K resistance level with momentum, turning it into a support.
While almost everything points to a new record high in the coming weeks, there is one worrying sign. The RSI is showing a clear bearish divergence between recent price highs, which could indicate a correction or even a reversal in the near term.
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