Bitcoin
Calls Dominate Bitcoin Options Despite Price Drops and ETF Outflows
Although the usual volatility has been absent in the derivatives market, the slight fluctuations observed in recent days have still managed to reveal subtle market trends.
Between June 12th and 14th, Bitcoin Options open interest increased by $20.85 billion on June 12, to $21.91 billion on June 13, before decreasing to $21.42 billion on June 14.
Chart showing Bitcoin options open from June 8 to June 14, 2024 (Source: CoinGlass)
Open interest in Bitcoin futures also decreased slightly during the period, falling from $35.25 billion on June 12 to $34.17 billion on June 14.
Chart showing Bitcoin futures open interest from June 6 to June 14, 2024 (Source: CoinGlass)
The initial increase in open interest followed by a subsequent decline suggests complex market sentiment when analyzed alongside price. Bitcoin fell from $69,555 on June 11 to $66,780 on June 14 after a brief recovery on June 13. The predominance of call options (67.17%) over put options (32.83%) on June 14 indicates a general bullish sentiment despite the price drop. 24-hour options volume on June 14 also skewed towards calls (59.88%), reinforcing this bullish outlook even in a declining price environment.
The distribution of calls and puts on Bitcoin options open interest and volume as of June 14, 2024 (Source: CoinGlass)
These subtle changes in OI were the result of a combination of several factors that influenced the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin ETFs have had mixed experiences Appetizer It is exits in the last days. The recovery of Bitcoin ETFs with inflows of $100 million, juxtaposed with a sharp outflow of $226 million amid the Ethereum ETF news, shows the size of the impact the market has taken. This outflow likely contributed to the decrease in demand for Bitcoin futures, as evidenced by the decline in futures open interest.
SEC Chairman Gary Gensler’s decisive words that Ethereum ETFs will be approved This summer likely diverted investor attention and capital to Ethereum, impacting the Bitcoin derivatives market. This shift is evident in the Ethereum futures and options market, where increases in open interest in recent days reflect this shift in sentiment.
Chart showing Ethereum open options from June 8 to June 14, 2024 (Source: CoinGlass)
by MicroStrategy issuance of convertible notes for buy more BTC has also shaped investor sentiment. michael saylor The latest move demonstrates the company’s unwavering confidence in Bitcoin, which can certainly influence investors participating in the derivatives market. This influence is seen in their ability to maintain and add to bullish positions despite a stable price, as can be seen in the dominance of call options.
ETF outflows have a direct impact on Bitcoin futures and options markets. Outflows from Bitcoin ETFs could lead to reduced liquidity and demand in the futures market, causing a decrease in open interest. This link is evident from the data, where we observe a decline in futures open interest following significant ETF outflows. The relationship between ETF flows and futures open interest shows the importance of institutional participation and sentiment in driving the market.
Bitcoin’s sideways movement and lack of significant volatility during this period have a dampening effect on open interest. When the price remains relatively stable, traders may find fewer profit opportunities, leading to reduced trading activity and fewer open futures contracts. Bitcoin’s stable price range from June 10 to June 14, with minor fluctuations, suggests a period of market consolidation, contributing to the observed decline in futures open interest.
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Bitcoin
What to watch for in the markets
Photo: Andrew Harnik (Getty Images)
After witnessing one of the largest global IT outages on record, affecting the travel, finance and healthcare sectors worldwideThis week is set to see more political drama, events, and earnings reports from tech giants.
Donald Trump’s ‘Lovefest’ Sets Jamie Dimon Up for Consideration for Treasury Secretary Job
Let’s take a look at what awaits us:
Major companies will release their earnings reports
Major tech companies and others will release their earnings reports this week, paving the way for what the second half of 2024 will look like.
Monday
- Verizon will report earnings before the start of operations.
Tuesday
- Coca-Cola, Comcast and UPS are all set to report earnings before the market opens.
- Tesla will report earnings in the morning, while General Motors will report earnings in the evening.
- Alphabet and Visa will report results after the market closes.
Wednesday
- AT&T will release its report before the market opens.
- Ford and Chipotle will report earnings after the market closes.
Thursday
- Earnings reports from AstraZeneca, American Airlines and Southwest Airlines will be released before the market opens.
Trump to speak at Bitcoin conference
Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump will speak at the next Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, Tennesseewhich is scheduled for July 25-27. While this is the first time a presidential candidate will attend the conference, it has sparked a debate over whether the crypto-friendly Trump will receive support from the crypto community in the upcoming election.
In addition to Trump, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will also discuss crypto during the conference. Crypto advocates such as ARK Investment’s Cathie Wood, MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor, and whistleblower Edward Snowden are among some prominent names who will be participating in the conference.
Ether ETFs are on the way
New Ether Spot ETFs are set to begin trading on Tuesday, July 23. Much like the spot Bitcoin ETFs, these ETFs will allow investors to buy the second most popular cryptocurrency like stocks. BlackRock, Ark Invest/21Shares, VanEck, Grayscale, Fidelity, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and Invesco/Galaxy Digital are all set to offer Ether ETFs. Crypto asset manager Bitwise predict that trading in the Ether ETF will drive the price of Ether higher, potentially surpassing $5,000.
Bitcoin
Cryptocurrency’s Biggest Winners and Losers in a Second Trump Presidency
Bitcoin miners and cryptocurrency companies that have been blocked from going public in the U.S. could ultimately be the biggest winners in the digital asset world under a second Donald Trump presidency. Foreign companies at risk of losing market share could end up being the biggest losers.
That’s the view that’s taking hold among market participants and observers in the wake of the former president’s growing embrace of cryptocurrency as his chances of election grow. survey released Thursday by CBS News showed Trump with the majority — 52 percent — of likely voters in his likely November rematch with President Joe Biden.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and Cryptocurrency Markets Look Ready to ‘Send’ as Stars Align, According to Investor Chris Burniske
Cryptocurrency investor Chris Burniske says Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SUN) and the cryptocurrency market in general seem poised for a run.
Former Head of Cryptocurrency at ARK Invest account his 292,200 followers on social media platform X that several catalysts are aligning, suggesting that digital asset markets are on the verge of a bull run.
According to Burniske, a partner at venture capital firm Placeholder, the highly anticipated launch of Ethereum-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaking at an upcoming Bitcoin event, and the current state of the BTC, ETH, and SOL charts all suggest significant optimism for the cryptocurrency markets.
“With ETH ETFs set to go live, Trump speaking at The Bitcoin Conference, and BTC, ETH, and SOL charts looking [they do] (while stocks are weak), it’s hard to imagine a world where we don’t ship next week.”
Reuters recently reported that preliminary approval for ETH ETFs has been granted as the Bitcoin Conference is scheduled to take place from July 25-27.
BTC, ETH, and SOL are trading at $67,333, $3,528, and $174 at the time of writing, respectively.
The venture capitalist too provides an update on his prediction that the total crypto market cap will eventually hit $10 trillion. According to his chart, the path to $10 trillion is currently “23%” complete, as it sits around $2.2 trillion.
Source: Chris BurniskeX
Earlier this month, Burniske he said in an interview with Real Vision CEO Raoul Paul that he has his eye on the Move ecosystem, which was originally built by social media giant Meta and then used to develop layer 1 blockchains Sui (IUE) and Apts (APT).
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Bitcoin
Here’s the next target for BTC before bulls can hold out for $70K
Bitcoin’s recovery is going well, and the market is seemingly poised to create a new all-time high in the near term.
Technical analysis
Per NegotiationRage
The daily chart
As the daily chart shows, the price of Bitcoin has been rising since it broke above the 200-day moving average.
The market has also reclaimed the $60K and $65K levels and is moving towards the $68K resistance zone, which could be the last hurdle before creating a new all-time high. With the RSI also indicating that the price has clear bullish momentum, it could be just a matter of time.
The 4-hour chart
Looking at the 4-hour chart, it is evident that the price has been rising rapidly since breaking the downtrend line to the upside. The market also broke the $65K resistance level with momentum, turning it into a support.
While almost everything points to a new record high in the coming weeks, there is one worrying sign. The RSI is showing a clear bearish divergence between recent price highs, which could indicate a correction or even a reversal in the near term.
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