Bitcoin
Bitcoin is holding support and poised to make another record run, according to the charts
Bitcoin has been pulling back in recent weeks following the announcement that creditors of collapsed exchange Mt Gox will receive approximately $9 billion in bitcoin, and fears that supply will hit the market. That pullback has materialized, and according to our Elliott Wave analysis of the bitcoin chart, support has likely formed in the $59,000-$49,000 zone. If successfully defended, this sets up a third attempt to break through the formidable $65,000-$73,000 resistance zone. In fact, we just added a 2% stake in the new iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) to our Tactical Alpha Growth portfolio at Inside Edge Capital. We are bullish and expect to see the underlying break out of all-time highs and push towards the $105,000-$109,000 target zone in 2024. Leaving aside the micro headwind of potential bitcoin supply, we have a potential macro tailwind that could help accelerate the rally. Looking at the 3-chart overlay below, you will find Bitcoin, Gold, and US 10-year yields since 2020. If you look closely at the overlay, you will notice two things on the chart that I find very useful as an equity investor to help gauge the macro environment. The first is that Gold and Bitcoin (blue and orange) have a very close positive correlation. ‘Heavy gold’ and ‘digital gold’ trading together?! Isn’t that like cats and dogs living together? We believe it has more to do with market dynamics, as both are currently inversely correlated to US bond yields, which is the second useful observation. If you look closely at the chart, you will see that the black-traded US 10-year yield has a loose inverse correlation to Bitcoin and Gold. As inflation is expected to be with us for longer than most think and the Fed is unlikely to ease rates any time soon, recent market activity has shown us that this is negatively impacting Bitcoin and Gold. Persistent inflation and higher rates are also negatively impacting equity markets. Putting it all together, higher rates have a negative impact on all three; bitcoin, gold, and the stock market, which have all shown a positive relationship in recent months. Incredibly, if you are bullish on the stock market, you want both bitcoin and gold to rally, which should see lower interest rates in the US as the first Fed rate hike approaches. As far as bitcoin’s rally against gold from the 2022 lows, there is no competition. Gold is up +45% compared to bitcoin’s +280% rally. To further underline bitcoin’s outperformance, take a look at a weekly bitcoin/gold ratio chart since 2020. Using the same school of market analysis, we see that bitcoin/gold has pulled back to support (gold outperformed bitcoin on the Mt Gox events), but is possibly finding support ready to reassert its dominance over gold. In short, as a very bullish stock market investor, I would like to see bitcoin and gold rally along with lower U.S. yields. But ideally, we see gains in bitcoin (and our new IBIT position) far outpacing our holdings of our gold mining stocks. – Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: (Gordon owns IBIT personally and through his wealth management firm Inside Edge Capital. Charts shown are MotiveWave) All opinions expressed by CNBC Pro contributors are their own and do not reflect the views of CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, its parent company or affiliates, and may have previously been disseminated by them on television, radio, internet or otherwise. THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO PURCHASE ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL’S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. THE ABOVE CONTENT MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR YOUR PARTICULAR CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISION, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR. Click here for full disclaimer.
Bitcoin
What to watch for in the markets
Photo: Andrew Harnik (Getty Images)
After witnessing one of the largest global IT outages on record, affecting the travel, finance and healthcare sectors worldwideThis week is set to see more political drama, events, and earnings reports from tech giants.
Donald Trump’s ‘Lovefest’ Sets Jamie Dimon Up for Consideration for Treasury Secretary Job
Let’s take a look at what awaits us:
Major companies will release their earnings reports
Major tech companies and others will release their earnings reports this week, paving the way for what the second half of 2024 will look like.
Monday
- Verizon will report earnings before the start of operations.
Tuesday
- Coca-Cola, Comcast and UPS are all set to report earnings before the market opens.
- Tesla will report earnings in the morning, while General Motors will report earnings in the evening.
- Alphabet and Visa will report results after the market closes.
Wednesday
- AT&T will release its report before the market opens.
- Ford and Chipotle will report earnings after the market closes.
Thursday
- Earnings reports from AstraZeneca, American Airlines and Southwest Airlines will be released before the market opens.
Trump to speak at Bitcoin conference
Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump will speak at the next Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, Tennesseewhich is scheduled for July 25-27. While this is the first time a presidential candidate will attend the conference, it has sparked a debate over whether the crypto-friendly Trump will receive support from the crypto community in the upcoming election.
In addition to Trump, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will also discuss crypto during the conference. Crypto advocates such as ARK Investment’s Cathie Wood, MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor, and whistleblower Edward Snowden are among some prominent names who will be participating in the conference.
Ether ETFs are on the way
New Ether Spot ETFs are set to begin trading on Tuesday, July 23. Much like the spot Bitcoin ETFs, these ETFs will allow investors to buy the second most popular cryptocurrency like stocks. BlackRock, Ark Invest/21Shares, VanEck, Grayscale, Fidelity, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and Invesco/Galaxy Digital are all set to offer Ether ETFs. Crypto asset manager Bitwise predict that trading in the Ether ETF will drive the price of Ether higher, potentially surpassing $5,000.
Bitcoin
Cryptocurrency’s Biggest Winners and Losers in a Second Trump Presidency
Bitcoin miners and cryptocurrency companies that have been blocked from going public in the U.S. could ultimately be the biggest winners in the digital asset world under a second Donald Trump presidency. Foreign companies at risk of losing market share could end up being the biggest losers.
That’s the view that’s taking hold among market participants and observers in the wake of the former president’s growing embrace of cryptocurrency as his chances of election grow. survey released Thursday by CBS News showed Trump with the majority — 52 percent — of likely voters in his likely November rematch with President Joe Biden.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and Cryptocurrency Markets Look Ready to ‘Send’ as Stars Align, According to Investor Chris Burniske
Cryptocurrency investor Chris Burniske says Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SUN) and the cryptocurrency market in general seem poised for a run.
Former Head of Cryptocurrency at ARK Invest account his 292,200 followers on social media platform X that several catalysts are aligning, suggesting that digital asset markets are on the verge of a bull run.
According to Burniske, a partner at venture capital firm Placeholder, the highly anticipated launch of Ethereum-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaking at an upcoming Bitcoin event, and the current state of the BTC, ETH, and SOL charts all suggest significant optimism for the cryptocurrency markets.
“With ETH ETFs set to go live, Trump speaking at The Bitcoin Conference, and BTC, ETH, and SOL charts looking [they do] (while stocks are weak), it’s hard to imagine a world where we don’t ship next week.”
Reuters recently reported that preliminary approval for ETH ETFs has been granted as the Bitcoin Conference is scheduled to take place from July 25-27.
BTC, ETH, and SOL are trading at $67,333, $3,528, and $174 at the time of writing, respectively.
The venture capitalist too provides an update on his prediction that the total crypto market cap will eventually hit $10 trillion. According to his chart, the path to $10 trillion is currently “23%” complete, as it sits around $2.2 trillion.
Source: Chris BurniskeX
Earlier this month, Burniske he said in an interview with Real Vision CEO Raoul Paul that he has his eye on the Move ecosystem, which was originally built by social media giant Meta and then used to develop layer 1 blockchains Sui (IUE) and Apts (APT).
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Bitcoin
Here’s the next target for BTC before bulls can hold out for $70K
Bitcoin’s recovery is going well, and the market is seemingly poised to create a new all-time high in the near term.
Technical analysis
Per NegotiationRage
The daily chart
As the daily chart shows, the price of Bitcoin has been rising since it broke above the 200-day moving average.
The market has also reclaimed the $60K and $65K levels and is moving towards the $68K resistance zone, which could be the last hurdle before creating a new all-time high. With the RSI also indicating that the price has clear bullish momentum, it could be just a matter of time.
The 4-hour chart
Looking at the 4-hour chart, it is evident that the price has been rising rapidly since breaking the downtrend line to the upside. The market also broke the $65K resistance level with momentum, turning it into a support.
While almost everything points to a new record high in the coming weeks, there is one worrying sign. The RSI is showing a clear bearish divergence between recent price highs, which could indicate a correction or even a reversal in the near term.
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