Bitcoin
Here’s Why $9,000,000,000 in Mt. Gox Refunds May Not Impact Bitcoin Price Much, According to Galaxy Executive
The head of research at crypto financial services firm Galaxy is dispelling fears that the long-awaited Mt.Gox payments could trigger a Bitcoin crash (Bitcoin).
In a new interview on the YouTube channel Unchained Podcast, Alex Thorn says that defunct cryptocurrency exchange Mt.Gox must pay creditors around 142,000 BTC, worth almost $9 billion, from July to October.
The news of the impending BTC disbursement from Mt. Gox sent shockwaves through the crypto markets last week, triggering more than US$313 million in settlements.
But Thorn says the fear surrounding the Mt. Gox saga is probably exaggerated, as his research indicates that less than half of the coins are likely to be available to be sold on the open market after issuance. He also says that recipients will likely hold on to their BTC stack rather than selling outright.
According to Thorn, individuals who will receive their BTC in the coming months have agreed to take a 10% to 11% cut to take advantage of Mt. Gox’s early payment scheme. Thorn estimates that 75% of lenders have accepted the deal, reducing the number of BTC for delivery to 94,600 coins.
The Galaxy executive goes on to note that many people have already sold their bankruptcy claims to funds at a discount. According to Thorn, the funds were aggressively buying up claims from Mt. Gox users who didn’t want to wait years before seeing a single cent of their money.
“A lot of people have sold their coins and we think there are about 20,000 Bitcoins sitting in these funds. So let’s put that aside for a second. So now we’re at 74,000 coins.”
Thorn notes that the funds that purchased the bankruptcy credits are unlikely to be major sources of sales because he believes the entities that provided liquidity to purchase the credits will hold the coins once released.
“My understanding from talking to some of them is that they all plan to deliver in kind to their LPs (liquidity providers)… Again, from talking to some of the large LPs in these funds, as well as some of the funds that these LP bases are almost entirely comprised of high net worth Bitcoiners who effectively want Bitcoin at a discount… From doing some due diligence on this, we are pretty sure that these are actually people with diamond hands who wanted to accumulate at a discount.”
According to Thorn, the latest group that will receive BTC from Mt. Gox is cryptocurrency exchange Bitcoinica. Thorn says the exchange is ready to collect 10,000 BTC, but notes that Bitcoinica cannot sell its Bitcoin hoard immediately because it needs to go through its bankruptcy process in New Zealand.
In total, Thorn estimates that 64,000 BTC will be disbursed to the lenders’ trading accounts. The Galaxy executive believes that these entities are early Bitcoiners who are more likely to hold onto their stacks rather than sell upon receipt.
“Overall, I don’t think there will be much selling. That’s what it all boils down to. Or at least I should say I think there will be a lot less selling than a naive look at the title suggests.”
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Bitcoin
What to watch for in the markets
Photo: Andrew Harnik (Getty Images)
After witnessing one of the largest global IT outages on record, affecting the travel, finance and healthcare sectors worldwideThis week is set to see more political drama, events, and earnings reports from tech giants.
Donald Trump’s ‘Lovefest’ Sets Jamie Dimon Up for Consideration for Treasury Secretary Job
Let’s take a look at what awaits us:
Major companies will release their earnings reports
Major tech companies and others will release their earnings reports this week, paving the way for what the second half of 2024 will look like.
Monday
- Verizon will report earnings before the start of operations.
Tuesday
- Coca-Cola, Comcast and UPS are all set to report earnings before the market opens.
- Tesla will report earnings in the morning, while General Motors will report earnings in the evening.
- Alphabet and Visa will report results after the market closes.
Wednesday
- AT&T will release its report before the market opens.
- Ford and Chipotle will report earnings after the market closes.
Thursday
- Earnings reports from AstraZeneca, American Airlines and Southwest Airlines will be released before the market opens.
Trump to speak at Bitcoin conference
Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump will speak at the next Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, Tennesseewhich is scheduled for July 25-27. While this is the first time a presidential candidate will attend the conference, it has sparked a debate over whether the crypto-friendly Trump will receive support from the crypto community in the upcoming election.
In addition to Trump, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will also discuss crypto during the conference. Crypto advocates such as ARK Investment’s Cathie Wood, MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor, and whistleblower Edward Snowden are among some prominent names who will be participating in the conference.
Ether ETFs are on the way
New Ether Spot ETFs are set to begin trading on Tuesday, July 23. Much like the spot Bitcoin ETFs, these ETFs will allow investors to buy the second most popular cryptocurrency like stocks. BlackRock, Ark Invest/21Shares, VanEck, Grayscale, Fidelity, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and Invesco/Galaxy Digital are all set to offer Ether ETFs. Crypto asset manager Bitwise predict that trading in the Ether ETF will drive the price of Ether higher, potentially surpassing $5,000.
Bitcoin
Cryptocurrency’s Biggest Winners and Losers in a Second Trump Presidency
Bitcoin miners and cryptocurrency companies that have been blocked from going public in the U.S. could ultimately be the biggest winners in the digital asset world under a second Donald Trump presidency. Foreign companies at risk of losing market share could end up being the biggest losers.
That’s the view that’s taking hold among market participants and observers in the wake of the former president’s growing embrace of cryptocurrency as his chances of election grow. survey released Thursday by CBS News showed Trump with the majority — 52 percent — of likely voters in his likely November rematch with President Joe Biden.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and Cryptocurrency Markets Look Ready to ‘Send’ as Stars Align, According to Investor Chris Burniske
Cryptocurrency investor Chris Burniske says Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SUN) and the cryptocurrency market in general seem poised for a run.
Former Head of Cryptocurrency at ARK Invest account his 292,200 followers on social media platform X that several catalysts are aligning, suggesting that digital asset markets are on the verge of a bull run.
According to Burniske, a partner at venture capital firm Placeholder, the highly anticipated launch of Ethereum-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaking at an upcoming Bitcoin event, and the current state of the BTC, ETH, and SOL charts all suggest significant optimism for the cryptocurrency markets.
“With ETH ETFs set to go live, Trump speaking at The Bitcoin Conference, and BTC, ETH, and SOL charts looking [they do] (while stocks are weak), it’s hard to imagine a world where we don’t ship next week.”
Reuters recently reported that preliminary approval for ETH ETFs has been granted as the Bitcoin Conference is scheduled to take place from July 25-27.
BTC, ETH, and SOL are trading at $67,333, $3,528, and $174 at the time of writing, respectively.
The venture capitalist too provides an update on his prediction that the total crypto market cap will eventually hit $10 trillion. According to his chart, the path to $10 trillion is currently “23%” complete, as it sits around $2.2 trillion.
Source: Chris BurniskeX
Earlier this month, Burniske he said in an interview with Real Vision CEO Raoul Paul that he has his eye on the Move ecosystem, which was originally built by social media giant Meta and then used to develop layer 1 blockchains Sui (IUE) and Apts (APT).
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Bitcoin
Here’s the next target for BTC before bulls can hold out for $70K
Bitcoin’s recovery is going well, and the market is seemingly poised to create a new all-time high in the near term.
Technical analysis
Per NegotiationRage
The daily chart
As the daily chart shows, the price of Bitcoin has been rising since it broke above the 200-day moving average.
The market has also reclaimed the $60K and $65K levels and is moving towards the $68K resistance zone, which could be the last hurdle before creating a new all-time high. With the RSI also indicating that the price has clear bullish momentum, it could be just a matter of time.
The 4-hour chart
Looking at the 4-hour chart, it is evident that the price has been rising rapidly since breaking the downtrend line to the upside. The market also broke the $65K resistance level with momentum, turning it into a support.
While almost everything points to a new record high in the coming weeks, there is one worrying sign. The RSI is showing a clear bearish divergence between recent price highs, which could indicate a correction or even a reversal in the near term.
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